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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X· · 原发布时间 AI 评分27

Alex Imas:数百万 AI 智能体未必带来两位数经济增长

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Google DeepMind 的 AGI Economics 主管 Alex Imas 认为,即使出现数百万智能体和大量自主组织,经济增长仍可能处于 4% 至 5% 区间。他解释说,AI 使产出更便宜时,竞争可能压低价格,让产量增长难以完全反映在以美元计价的 GDP 中;两位数增长还需要有足够购买力的买家。

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@rohanpaul_ai

Millions of AI agents, and growth could still sit at 4% to 5%

~ Google DeepMind Director of AGI Economics Alex Imas

"Let's say you have tons of autonomous organizations, millions of agents. There's a state of the world where you're still in like the 4% to 5% growth zone."

Because, GDP measures dollars spent, not how much stuff gets made, and when AI makes something nearly free to produce, competition drives its price down.

So output can explode while its dollar value barely grows, just as farming went from about 40% of GDP to 2% after automation even though food production soared. Double-digit growth would also need buyers with enough money to purchase all that output without prices collapsing.

---- Full video on "MTS" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

来源:Rohan Paul · x.com

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