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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X· · 原发布时间 AI 评分54

研究测试 Gemini、Qwen3 与 OLMo:模型自行随机选择未通过统计检验

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研究让 Gemini、Qwen3 和 OLMo 各进行 1024 次简单分布抽样;报道中的所有统计检验均未显示其选择符合目标概率,调整 temperature 或 top-p 也未解决。在一项安全博弈中,Gemini 的选择使攻击者胜率达到 96.6% 至 99.9%,高于真正随机检查时的 75%。

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@rohanpaul_ai

https://t.co/nlSxKMp6HA

Title: "The Illusion of Stochasticity in LLMs"

回复Rohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
New Google DeepMind paper finds that AI models cannot make truly random choices on their own, but larger models pick correctly when a computer program gives them a random number first. Agents often need to pick actions at random with set odds, like checking servers in an unpredictable order. LLMs say they will pick uniformly, then keep landing on favorites like 7, 42, or answer C. They asked Gemini, Qwen3, and OLMo models to sample from simple distributions 1024 times each. They also tried other temperature and sampling settings, and gave models a random number to convert. Every reported statistical test for matching the target odds failed, and changing temperature or top-p did not fix it. In a security game where truly random checks let attackers win 75% of the time, Gemini's picks let them win 96.6% to 99.9%. If your agent needs randomness, generate it in code and pass it in, instead of asking the model to be random.
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来源:Rohan Paul · x.com

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