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阿波罗首席经济学家称,AI 尚未提高美国非科技大企业的利润率

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AI 辅助摘要

阿波罗全球管理公司首席经济学家托斯滕·斯洛克在研报中观察标普500剔除七家科技巨头后的493家公司,发现其利润率和人均营收基本持平。他认为,目前没有证据表明AI提高了这批企业的生产效率,也未见科技行业以外的大型企业获得明确的利润增量。

正文 · AI 翻译

IT Home reported on October 26 that, according to TechCrunch, the chief economist of private equity giant Apollo Global Management recently published a research report arguing that no large company outside the technology sector has yet seen a tangible increase in profits from AI.

IT Home noted that Apollo’s Torsten Slok focused on what he calls the S&P 493 constituents: the companies remaining in the S&P 500 after excluding the seven technology giants Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla. The data show that these companies’ profit margins and revenue per employee have remained largely flat, with no evidence that AI has improved their productivity.

Slok wrote: “Despite massive investment in AI and overwhelming publicity, the technology has yet to deliver any financial returns for U.S. companies outside the technology sector.”

Could it simply be that companies outside the technology sector are slower to adopt AI than the technology giants? Slok is skeptical. He believes ordinary U.S. companies will find it difficult to turn increasingly cheap computing power for AI into faster revenue growth and higher profit margins.

“AI may be a powerful calculator, but most of the intelligence needed in business is judgment.” He added: “AI cannot understand responsibility, trust, corporate culture, unwritten rules, ethical trade-offs or fairness, and these factors determine reputational risk and ultimately shape revenue growth and profit margins.”

Several recent studies have reached similar conclusions: AI has yet to produce significant productivity gains.

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