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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X· · Original publication time AI score53

Borrowing for AI data centers tops $680 billion as financing shifts to harder-to-track channelsMachine translation

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Borrowing to build AI data centers has grown about fivefold since 2023 to more than $680 billion this year, nearly a third of investment-grade corporate borrowing. Financing is shifting from conventional corporate bonds toward loans, project finance, high-yield debt and private deals. These riskier, harder-to-track forms make the total amount of AI debt difficult to determine.

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@rohanpaul_ai

Borrowing to build AI data centers has grown about 5x since 2023, to more than $680B this year, and now makes up nearly a third of all investment-grade corporate borrowing.

The money is also moving away from simple corporate bonds toward loans, project finance, high-yield debt and private deals. Those forms are riskier and harder to track, so nobody can say for sure how much AI debt exists.

ReplyRohan Paul@rohanpaul_ai
Fed releases financial stability report > AI is now the top financial risk for Wall Street. 87% of the market pros the New York Fed polled named it, up from 50% in spring. > The Fed says “market enthusiasm for super intelligence” is part of why stock valuations are so high. > Debt raised for AI infrastructure passed $680B by October. That’s about 5x all of 2023 and about 31% of investment-grade corporate borrowing. > Big tech and chipmakers also carry over $3T in future leases and guarantees, so their real AI exposure may be far larger than their reported debt. > GPU makers guarantee the value of the chips they sell to AI firms and often invest in those same buyers, which creates “circular financing.” > The largest US banks have close to $1T of exposure to big tech, data center builders and the vehicles that finance them. > Hyperscaler spending as a share of GDP may soon pass the 1990s telecom boom.
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