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Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X· · 原发布时间 AI 评分26

Apollo首席经济学家Slok质疑AI对企业利润和整体生产率的贡献

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Apollo首席经济学家Torsten Slok认为,主流企业未必需要或愿意购买最新模型;如果难以改善利润,Token支出就会成为成本。他预计,在智能体AI和Token支出仍集中于少数企业时,AI对整体经济的影响将十分有限。转述这份报告的作者表示,自己关注的其他信号并不支持这些判断。

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@rohanpaul_ai

Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok just published a gloomy report on AI.

imo, other signals I’m watching don’t really support these.

> Slok says mainstream firms don’t need the latest model and won’t pay for it, and with no bottom-line gain they now treat token spending as a cost center that weighs on margins.

> He says, total factor productivity growth sits near 0%, and Slok expects AI’s macro effect to stay very limited while agentic AI and token spending remain confined to a small slice of firms.

> Argues cheaper, commoditized models may not close the gap, because per him, business value depends on judgment, accountability, trust and unwritten rules that AI doesn’t understand.

来源:Rohan Paul · x.com

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