IMF最新预测未计入AI带来的额外生产率增长

IMF publishes latest forecasts as economy-wide AI effects remain limited

The IMF’s latest forecasts assume no additional productivity growth from AI. Its report says economy-wide data still show little effect on wages, jobs or measured productivity despite gains on specific tasks. In its models, an AI boom adds 0.6% to global output by 2029, while an AI bust cuts output by 1.1% by 2028. Separately, ARK CEO Cathie Wood said AI could bring the biggest acceleration in global growth since the Industrial Revolution.

另有 1 家信源报道Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai) 同一事件，精选展示《IMF最新预测未计入AI带来的额外生产率增长》

IMF’s latest forecasts assume no extra productivity growth from AI

The accompanying background says the IMF’s latest forecasts assume no extra productivity growth from AI. Despite gains on specific tasks, economy-wide data still show little effect on wages, jobs or measured productivity. It also says the IMF’s models put the global output gain from an AI boom at 0.6% by 2029, versus a 1.1% loss from an AI bust by 2028.

另有 1 家信源报道Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai) 同一事件，精选展示《IMF最新预测未计入AI带来的额外生产率增长》

IMF’s latest forecasts assume no additional productivity growth from AI

The IMF report says economy-wide data still show little effect from AI on wages, jobs or measured productivity, despite gains on specific tasks. It also finds that higher prices account for most of the rise in AI hardware trade; in its models, the global output loss from an AI bust is nearly twice the gain from an AI boom.

另有 1 家信源报道Rohan Paul (@rohanpaul_ai)

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